Northern inland NSW property scorecard: Simon Pressley
GUEST OBSERVER
The property markets of ten out of the thirteen local government authorities (LGAs) which make up the New South Wales region of Northern Inland are ranked in Australia’s Top 30% property markets over the last fifteen years.
Gunnedah and Liverpool Plains were the equal best performing markets in the region with a national ranking of 38th out of the 550 LGA’s in Australia.
The median house price in Gunnedah increased from $80,000 at the start of 2000 to $290,000 by the end of 2014. The average annual growth rate of 9.6% plus the 5.8% rental yield equates to a total annual return of 15.4%.
Liverpool Plains’ median house price increased by an average of 7.9% per annum and its average rental yield is 7.5%.
Propertyology conducted a study to compare the historical property market performance of each of Australia’s 550 local government authorities between 2000 and 2014. Given that some property markets have higher rates of growth and others have higher rental yields, Propertyology calculated the ‘total return’ (average annual growth rate plus rental yield) and we then ranked the LGA’s from 1 to 550 based on this performance.
Glen Innes (ranked 70th), Narrabri (49th), Moree Plains (81st), Guyra and Inverall (equal 92nd) all featured in Australia’s Top 100.
Tamworth had the highest population growth rate in the region – 1.1% per annum for the last ten years compared to the 1.6% national average. Propertyology regards Tamworth as an exceptional strong regional service centre with an economy which is comparable to capital cities in regards to industry diversity. Tamworth’s property market was equal 163rd (with Uralla), making it amongst the best 30% based on overall historical performance for the last 15 years.
Tenterfield (107th) and Armidale (173rd) out of 550 also performed exceptionally well.
Propertyology’s study concluded that population growth doesn’t have the big influence on overall return as many think. The historical evidence shows numerous locations performed strongly in spite of modest, or even no, population growth. For example, Moree Plains’ population declined by an average of 0.6% per annum and both Narrabri and Liverpool Plains had zero population growth, yet they all performed better than each of the 43 LGA’s in Greater-Sydney. Affordability and lifestyle are the common denominators.
The Northern Inland region contains locations which tick a lot the boxes that Propertyology looks for when helping mum-and-dad investors to take advantage of the many opportunities that Australian property markets have to offer.
Gwydir was the region’s worst performing property market, ranked 417th.
Simon Pressley is Managing Director of Propertyology, REIA Hall of Fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer’s Agent.