Australia’s growing ageing population will underpin the opportunity for a significant housing response, with the possibility of shaping future demand and dwelling requirements across the nation.&nbsp;

Based upon ABS population projections across Greater Sydney, Greater Melbourne, Greater Brisbane and the ACT, the population aged 55+ will increase by 4.5 million people by 2071, highlighting the ongoing requirement for new housing solutions to be delivered across the market to cater towards both this demographic and others impacted by their emergence. This population cohort (55+ years) currently represents around 1 in 4 people and is anticipated to shift to around 1 in 2.5 people by 2071 across each of the capital city markets above. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 
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Through the medium term, Greater Melbourne is set to see the largest nominal increase of people aged 55-74 years old, followed by Greater Sydney and South-East Queensland, making it a prime location for right-sizers, however, the growth across each will support strong right sizing opportunities in each respective market.

“The right-sizer cohort is increasingly reflecting a blend of the established “Baby Boomers” and emerging “Generation X” that are ageing into this cohort,"&nbsp;Managing Director of Residential at Colliers, Diana Sarcasmo, said.

"With the recognition of changing expectations and aspirations across the generations, housing choice and requirements will need to be a dynamic consideration for the future. This increase in population will underpin the critical decisions of property developers and policymakers moving forward, as they need to cater for the ‘right-sizer’ cohort.”

As part of efforts to address Australia’s housing supply crisis, many older homeowners are opting to move out of large, underutilized homes into apartments that better suit their lifestyle needs. This trend frees up larger houses for families, making better use of existing housing stock and creating new opportunities for those seeking more space.

“While right-sizing is not a standalone solution, it highlights how individual choices can contribute to alleviating housing pressures. Combined with broader initiatives like increased construction and urban planning, this movement represents a small but meaningful step towards more sustainable housing solutions in Australia,” Sarcasmo added.

As of 2021, the number of detached homes owned outright by households over 55 in capital city markets totals 855,260, according to the ABS. In comparison, the total of current occupied apartment stock throughout the market is 939,763. This highlights the potential impact that downsizing detached homeowners may have on apartment demand, especially as the ageing population continues to grow).

Rightsizers have highlighted a reduction in dwelling size, decluttering, more manageable internal and external spaces as well as potential financial benefits being prime motivators for moving. &nbsp;Many of these benefits can be facilitated through well-designed apartment options, with right-sizers able to use funds from the sale of a detached home to support their lifestyle into retirement.&nbsp;

While historically there has been a higher representation across two-bedroom options occupied within apartments owned outright by these cohorts, it is expected this new trend will support an increasing push and opportunity for three-bedroom options, from this right-sizer cohort.

“The increasing representation of couples without children residing within apartments has the potential to support a greater demand for three-bedroom options. This trend has been observed across recent movers into apartments as well as detached houses. Three bedrooms offer increasing space for a larger ageing household with the flexibility to repurpose rooms to align with right-sizer’s lifestyles as they age,” Ms Sarcasmo said.

Historically, apartment stock has had a greater focus on one- and two-bedroom options, as apartments are increasingly required to support more permanent and diverse households. It is anticipated that three-bedroom stock will increasingly reflect the demands of these households in the future.

“To date, there has been a focus on smaller scale projects occupied by right-sizer and retiree households, however, they have also demonstrated acceptance of a diversity of project types (including medium and higher density). Developers should increasingly have these occupiers in mind when considering their project designs and product compositions with consideration for the significance of this demographic shift,” Ms Sarcasmo said.

Capital cities across the east coast will need to adapt to the surge of ‘right-sizers’, with innovative solutions required to meet growing demand.

Joel Robinson

Ageing population to drive downsizing trend and force major rethink of Australia’s housing response: Colliers

Local developer CS Collective is seeking to deliver a collection of just eight luxury apartments in Burleigh Heads.

They've had international architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/architects/plus-architecture">Plus Architecture</a>&nbsp;to design Lantern Burleigh, with the triangular 834 sqm peninsula site at&nbsp;13 West Street&nbsp;also set to home a curated retail precinct&nbsp;anchored by a subterranean bathhouse that draws inspiration from ancient wellness traditions.

CS Collective Director Luke Carter said the vision was to create an iconic landmark that resonates with the local community.

"This isn't just about providing new homes – it's about delivering a destination that becomes a defining feature of Burleigh's evolving skyline while maintaining the area's cherished coastal character," Carter said.

Plus Architecture Principal Chrisney Formosa said the unusual triangular nature of the site allowed them to create something truly special for Burleigh Heads.

"We've conceived the building as a lighthouse for the area – visible on approach and offering expansive views across one of Australia's most beautiful beaches. The monochromatic palette allows the sculptural nature of the development to be the hero, with an undercurrent of textural and tonal changes that reference the golden sands of Burleigh."&nbsp;

<img alt="Plans lodged for new architectural beacon on Burleigh Heads' iconic peninsula " data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d0bdd781-ca8f-4cf4-94d7-853598c343d2" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/4_0.jpg?VersionId=G8w9ZxbfjJ9U245GVrQ7UB0B76dUF.Ed" />

&nbsp;

Each residence has been conceived as an individual sub-penthouse, featuring double-height spaces that capture sweeping ocean views from every level. The design's distinctive elements include curved soffits, brick formations, and signature circular windows that reinforce Lantern Burleigh's lighthouse-inspired form.&nbsp;

The refined material palette weaves together tinted glass, lush landscaping, warm crazy pavers, stacked tile, profiled concrete, and aluminum battens, creating a sophisticated coastal aesthetic that balances street presence with residential privacy.

&nbsp;

CS Collective Co-Director David Skeen said what sets Lantern Burleigh apart is its complete lifestyle offering.

"The private and communal rooftop spaces, featuring infinity pools, saunas, and steam rooms, capitalize on the site's stunning 360-degree ocean views," Skeen said.

"Combined with our premium wellness centre and carefully selected retail offerings, we're creating a new standard for beachside living."&nbsp;

The ground floor precinct will be thoughtfully curated to attract leading food and beverage operators, working in harmony with the development's bathhouse and wellness facilities.

CS Collective Co-Director David Skeen said what sets Lantern Burleigh apart is its complete lifestyle offering

First look: CS Collective file for Lantern Burleigh, luxe apartments in Burleigh Heads

The monthly dwelling approval update by the Australian Bureau of Statistics again painted a grim outlook for Australia's new-build environment.

Total dwellings approved fell 3.6 per cent in November to 14,998.

There were most positives found in Victoria and Queensland where dwelling approvals remained stable and closer to their targets, although New South Wales is tracking well behind where they're forecasted to be.

The total number of dwellings approved in NSW was 42,109 over the 12 months until November 2024, 34,000 short of meeting the National Housing Accord quota for NSW.

"Despite a range of State and Federal programs designed to promote housing supply, dwelling approvals data from the last 12 months shows a chronic trend in the wrong direction," Urban Taskforce CEO Tom Forrest says, adding the new data shows there is a "mountain to climb".

"The data for NSW shows that Premier Minns is on the right track in looking to fast-track planning through the Housing Delivery Authority and through changes to the planning laws. The key to success will be through ensuring that new housing and employment remain the focus, and that planners don’t become distracted with other portfolio imperatives."

There has been a -10 per cent annual decline in approvals across all housing typologies in New South Wales. Apartment approvals declined a massive -26 per cent in the 12 months to November.

Stuart Ayres, CEO of the Urban Development Institute of Australia (UDIA) NSW, says the&nbsp;NSW Government has a lot of work to do in 2025 to turn around the housing supply crisis that continues to inflict more pain on future homeowners. 
 
"With&nbsp;approvals&nbsp;in the detached house market sitting at a 10-year low, it is important that the Housing Delivery Authority (HDA) remains ambitious in supporting greenfield subdivisions," Ayres says. 
 
"The hope of the side at the moment is the Housing Delivery Authority. It is absolutely critical that it facilitates high demand and more feasible greenfield development and subdivisions, and not focus exclusively on less feasible infill projects."

&nbsp;

Multi-unit approvals in the three months to November 2024 climbed significantly in Western Australia (+207.5 per cent) compared to the corresponding period in the previous year. This was followed by Queensland (+16.0 per cent), Victoria (+9.4 per cent) and New South Wales (+1.6 per cent). The Northern Territory registered a flat result. Declines were recorded in Tasmania (-85.7 per cent), the Australian Capital Territory (-82.4 per cent), and South Australia (-15.1 per cent).

Apartment approvals in NSW declined a massive -26 per cent in the 12 months to November.

"Mountain to climb" as new home building activity falls

Deicorp’s latest Metro-connected project has been granted approval from the Independent Planning Commission (IPC), giving the burgeoning develop the green light to push on with 188 apartments in Crows Nest.&nbsp;

The 22-level building, which includes a three-storey podium with ground-floor retail and commercial space, will be built on the prominent Pacific Highway site known as The Five Ways.&nbsp;

The application for the project, known as <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/new-apartments/falcon-alexander-8-alexander-street-crows-nest">Falcon &amp; Alexander</a>, was lodged in April 2024 and assessed by the NSW Department of Planning, receiving a recommendation for approval in November. However, as the local council objected, the matter was required to be determined by the IPC.&nbsp;

The IPC invited submissions from the community as part of its determination, with 20 submissions received, including nine objections and 11 in support. &nbsp;

<img alt="Faclon &amp; Alexander" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="416f83c7-e10e-4de4-98a1-7269eee0dcce" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-01-07%20at%2012.29.27%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=el87Bo4ahmomkN2SNOhqiPWBBi3TxDVC" />

The Five Ways project is located around 350 metres from the new Crows Nest Metro Station, and with an active ground floor retail precinct, it will help revitalise the southern edge of the <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/developments/crows-nest-nsw-2065">Crows Nest</a> town centre.&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/architects/turner-studio">Turner Studio</a> won the Design Excellence competition with their design being selected by the jury as the most desirable.&nbsp;

Deicorp’s founder Fouad Deiri said he was pleased with the outcome, and the work of the Department of Planning to support the application, despite opposition from North Sydney Council.&nbsp;

“We have been working for over five years to achieve approval on this site, including three separate planning proposals and a subsequent State Significant application,” Deiri said.&nbsp;

“The time it has taken to secure approval for this project highlights the difficulties the development industry faces in trying to build homes in Sydney. &nbsp;

“A community survey we undertook as part of the consultation process demonstrated a majority of residents in the area were either in favour of the project or neutral towards it.&nbsp;

“A significant majority of residents surveyed supported the substantial Affordable Housing within &nbsp;the project and the new retail precinct being provided.”&nbsp;

<img alt="Falcon" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="eebd8543-6452-4930-a340-201b84a448e2" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-01-07%20at%2012.29.38%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=R6KFfA6Vxa7EFra5k9JHDXXrBe.Rpqi5" />

Findings by the research and engagement firm Notting Hill Advisory revealed a significant portion of households polled in four key development hubs across Sydney, including the North Sydney local government area (LGA), were favourable to new housing located close to public transport and delivered with good amenity outcomes.&nbsp;

In the North Sydney LGA, where the Crows Nest development is located, 64 per cent of the residents surveyed also agreed the provision of affordable housing would benefit the community. There are 48 affordable housing units in Falcon &amp; Alexander.

The Five Ways approval adds to another recent significant project consent <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/developers/deicorp">Deicorp</a> received in December, with their <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-exclusive-deicorp-submit-plans-for-joynton-square-mixed-use-zetland-precinct">Joynton Ave Zetland site</a> being signed off by the Central Sydney Planning Committee. Joynton Ave includes 574 apartments across nine buildings and a contribution of $28 million for Affordable Housing.

Deicorp expects to start construction on over 3,000 apartments in 2025.

The Five Ways project is located around 350 metres from the new Crows Nest Metro Station, and with an active ground floor retail precinct, it will help revitalise the southern edge of the Crows Nest town centre

Deicorp approved for Falcon & Alexander, Crows Nest new apartment development

There are thousands of apartments which will launch next year, across some of the best Gold Coast suburbs. We've looked at the developers behind the next tranche of projects launching in 2025.

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Joel Robinson

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