Housing affordability crisis looms for Melbourne, Sydney: REA Group
A housing affordability crisis looms for Melbourne and Sydney should the underdevelopment in Sydney not change with Melbourne better prepped due to partner investment in public infrastructure, according to the latest REA Group Property Demand Index.
Nerida Conisbee, REA Group chief economist said we’re likely heading straight towards a housing affordability crisis in our two largest cities unless something changes.
"Demand levels on realestate.com.au continue to surge in Sydney and Melbourne, while house median prices continue to break records on the Eastern seaboard, she said.
"Melbourne is better placed to weather the storm for longer, but Sydney, hampered by long-term underdevelopment, needs action. The only long term solution to the city’s affordability problem is to increase the supply of housing.
"There are a number of things that need to be done to improve this.
"This includes amalgamation of councils to improve planning systems and changes to NSW strata laws.
"Better relationships between state government and developers should be a priority, in order to partner investment in public infrastructure such as roads, schools and shops with new developments. This has led to a lot of success in Melbourne which despite being an expensive city, is far more affordable than Sydney.
"Sydney's lack of affordability is an economic issue.
"If it’s too expensive to live in the city, people will begin to move to more affordable regions and cities. The first to move will be those in essential services, such as nurses, doctors, teachers, pharmacists, plumbers, police, who don’t necessarily need to live in a large expensive city to secure work.
"Any changes to bank lending rates this month will determine demand levels for February. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to keep rates stable, or even decrease them this month, however there is no guarantee that banks will follow suit.
"Conditions remain highly challenged in Western Australia and Northern Territory where demand continues to fall, while Tasmania remains a stand out, continuing to perform above expectation.
"High levels of apartment development across the country are leading to demand levels increasing at a slower pace than housing and, despite very high demand for housing in the major Victoria and New South Wales markets, demand for apartments is stabilising in both states."
