Canberra undoubtedly one of the steadiest property markets in Australia: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder
EXPERT OBSERVER
Canberra continues to show the solidity for which it is renowned, with most suburbs having recorded growth in their median house prices in the past year. While many city markets stumbled or stalled in the first half of 2019, Canberra retained its “steady as she goes” course and continues to deliver growth.
While the generalised data (one figure to describe an entire city) suggests little or no growth in Canberra prices, the more in-depth analysis conducted by Hotspotting tells a different story. Almost two-thirds of Canberra suburbs have recorded growth in their median house prices in the past 12 months.
The national capital is undoubtedly one of the steadiest markets in the nation – underpinned by the strongest real estate economy in capital city Australia.
The ACT is consistently ranked No.3 or No.4 by CommSec in its quarterly State of the States report; as an economy it usually ranks ahead of all states/territories except Victoria and NSW. It ranks among the top two or three in CommSec’s latest report on housing finance, business investment, unemployment and retail trade.
The latest ABS data shows the ACT ranks second in the nation on population growth, close behind Victoria. Its unemployment rate is consistently the lowest in the nation.
Its vacancy rate of 1.2% compares with the national average of 2.2%. Rents show consistent uplift and there is evidence of solid price growth in most parts of the Canberra market.
Long-term growth figures published by CoreLogic show Canberra house prices have increased 231% in the past 20 years, compared with 202% in Sydney and the national average of 197%.
Canberra is the Australian real estate embodiment of the “slow and steady wins the race” scenario.
Since the start of 2015, demand has been trending upwards in Canberra. It hasn’t been a dramatic rise and there have been a few minor ups and downs - but over four years the graph depicting demand in the market has trended north.
And the price data supports that. Our suburb-by-suburb analysis shows that 64% of suburbs have recorded increases in their median house prices in the past year: 19 suburbs have grown their median house prices by more than 5% and another 19 have grown by less than 5%. Only seven suburbs have decreased by more than 5%.
Price growth leaders include O’Connor (up 20% to $1,260,000), Calwell (up 14% to $630,000) and Duffy (14% to $730,000). Theodore ($580,000), Holder ($680,000), Latham ($595,000) and upmarket Yarralumla ($1,560,000) all have recorded annual growth of 12-13%.
In terms of sales activity, strong markets are found right across the ACT. As we often find, the strongest demand is in the northern suburbs: both the Belconnen and Gungahlin districts have multiple growth suburbs.
The Tuggeranong district is emerging steadily as a precinct with good growth markets. Suburbs with growing sales momentum include Calwell, Chisholm, Monash and Theodore – all of which have recorded median price growth above 5% in the past year.
The Inner North, Inner South and Woden Valley districts all have growth markets.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
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