Top seven trends for Sydney’s property market: Douglas Driscoll

Sydney’s property market is predicted to be healthy and stable this spring. 

The market has been like a steam train the past 18 months with prices accelerating far too quickly and a lot of talk of a bubble, however it has now found its feet and is well on the road to a healthier, balanced position.

This spring, with the Australian economy still strong and consumer sentiment up, we’re hopefully set to see an increase in the number of first home buyers entering the market, as well as an increase in listings. 

My top seven trends for Sydney’s property market this spring are:

• Heightened stability. Over the past 18 months, Sydney’s market conditions were frantic and unpredictable, however, we’re now beginning to see a calming of the waters. The market is far less volatile - people know what they’re in for - and with this heightened sense of consumer confidence comes more action and more listings. 

• More listings. With consumer sentiment up, expect to see more properties on the market this spring compared to last. This time last year, buyers were unsure of what would happen, adopting a ‘wait and see’ mentality. However, this year, the market is much more consistent and we should see more stock hit the market as a result.

• Slightly lower clearance rates. So far this year Sydney’s auction clearance rate has consistently hovered around the mid-80% mark, however, we are likely to see this drop slightly to around the mid-70s. This is still an exceptionally high clearance rate and a sign of a strong, healthy market – one that is stable and less fickle.    

• Less local investors. As banks become more prudent about responsible lending, we’ll see less local investors in the market this spring.As investors back off a bit, we are likely to see the number of first home buyers increase by as much as 3-5%. 

• Apartments, apartments, apartments. Sydney is going apartment crazy. We’ll see more being built and more being sold. Although I’m pleased to see more dwellings being approved and constructed, my lingering concern is that a disproportionate amount are still being sold to overseas investors. This spring we’ll no doubt see more debate and discussion on this topic.

• Emerging growth suburbs. There will be a surge in buying activity in regional areas close to metropolitan cities, as buyers walk away from Sydney in favour of areas such as the Central Coast. Newcastle and Wollongong should also experience increased demand from buyers as Sydney properties become increasingly unobtainable. In Sydney, it’s Mascot, Botany, Riverstone and Leppington that are emerging as the next big growth areas. 

• Prices to increase but at a balanced rate. Property prices will continue to rise, but at a healthier, less accelerated rate. Rather than the 1-1.5% per month increases we’ve been experiencing, I expect to see closer to half a percent increase in prices for the remainder of this year, making it more achievable for first home buyers to purchase their ideal home this spring. 

DOUGLAS DRISCOLL is CEO of real estate agency Starr Partners.