Melbourne house prices set to fall during 2015?: academic research
Melbourne house prices are tipped to fall 9%, while Sydney prices will climb further and then hold their value, analysis for an unpublished paper under review for the Economic Record has found.
It covers price forecasts for freestanding houses.
Sydney prices would "continue to rise till the end of 2015 then start plateauing with no anticipated sharp falls".
But Melbourne prices could begin falling almost immediately, falling 9.2% in the year ahead, while Brisbane's prices will fall 8.1% and Perth's 5.2%, according to the analysis.
Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra will continue to climb slowly.
Asked by Peter Martin why Sydney house prices would keep climbing and then plateau while Melbourne prices fell, Dr Valadkhani said the model didn't give reasons. However, its predictions were consistent with continuing shortages and oversupply.