Brisbane is now the leader among Australia's property markets: Terry Ryder

EXPERT OBSERVER

There’s a strong argument that Brisbane is the leader among the major markets around Australia. Two-thirds of suburbs have rising sales activity and almost 90% have rising prices. Hotspotting’s Autumn 2021 survey of sales activity three months ago identified 124 rising suburbs, easily a record for Brisbane. Our new winter survey has smashed that record, with 141 suburbs with rising sales activity.

The past four surveys have found 28, 56, 124 and now 141 rising suburbs, a pattern that encapsulates Brisbane’s dramatic rise.

In our Spring 2019 survey, about 18 months ago, we classified 32 suburbs as declining markets and five as danger markets, with only 21 growth markets (most were plateau or consistency markets). Now, for the first time in five years, there are no suburbs we rank as declining or danger markets.

Partly this is due to dramatic improvements in the Brisbane-inner locations. This market has suffered in recent years from a major over-supply of apartments and most of the danger markets from previous surveys have been in this precinct: now vacancies are significantly lower and demand is rising for both houses and apartments.

Of the 22 Brisbane-inner suburbs ranked in our upcoming Winter edition of The Price Predictor Index, 17 are now classified as rising markets – and there are no longer any ranked as danger markets.

But there are large numbers of growth suburbs right across the Greater Brisbane Area, led by Moreton Bay Region in the far north (28 rising suburbs) and Logan City in the far south (25). The big improver is Ipswich City, which three months was still lagging the rest of Brisbane and had only five growth suburbs. Now, of the 14 Ipswich suburbs ranked in The Price Predictor Index, 11 are classified as growth suburbs. Bundamba (quarterly sales of 8 21 23 52) and Brassall (23 42 53 85) provide two dramatic examples. Both have median house prices in the low $300,000s.

Logan City, which showed major advances in our previous survey with 17 growth suburbs, has improved further and now has 25 growth suburbs. Woodridge sales have been 9 12 25 37 85 while Yarrabilba has been 42 51 69 93 and Eagleby 27 32 42 48 75, data which charts firstly recovery and then boom.

Moreton Bay Region is often the Brisbane market leader and this continues, with 28 growth suburbs, down slightly from 31 in the previous survey. Neighbouring Brisbane-north has also dropped slightly from 20 growth suburbs to 19, but remains a very strong market. There are also notable numbers of rising suburbs in the Brisbane-east, Brisbane-south and Redland City precincts.

PRICES: When we did our prices analysis three months ago, 76% of suburbs had delivered annual growth in their median house prices. This latest analysis finds that 89% of suburbs have had growth in the past 12 months.

Similarly, there has been improvement in the apartment markets, from 56% to 64% of suburbs recording annual growth in their median unit prices. The uplift in house prices is spread right across the Greater Brisbane Area, through a variety of price points in the inner, middle and outer ring precincts.

The Brisbane East precinct is a particular standout, with 12 suburbs delivering annual growth between 8% and 19%. The best performers have been Carina Heights, up 17% to $775,000, and East Brisbane, up 19% to $930,000. Lota ($690,000), Balmoral ($1,180,000) and Murarrie ($710,000) have all lifted 13%, while Tingalpa ($600,000), Norman Park ($1,010,000), Manly ($935,000) and Camp Hill ($975,00) all rising 10-11%. Carindale, Manly West and Wynnum has all grown 8%.

The neighbouring Redlands City area has also produced multiple growth suburbs, led by Thorneside (up 12% to $610,000) and Cleveland (up 10% to $645,000). Alexandra Hills, Birkdale, Capalaba, Ormiston, Thornlands and Victoria Point have all increased 7-9%. There are numerous growth markets in the city’s north. Increases in the Brisbane North precinct have been led by Ashgrove (up 16% to $1,140,000), Clayfield (up 17% to $12,40,000), Banyo (up 14% to $625,000) and Sandgate (up 13% to $800,000). Suburbs which have recorded annual growth between 7% and 9% include Ascot, Chermside, Everton Park, Hendra, Taigum, Kedron and Stafford Heights.

A little further north, growth in the Moreton Bay Region is led by Eatons Hill (up 13% to $690,000), while Banksia Beach, Clontarf, Everton Hills, Kippa Ring and Strathpine have all increased 7-8%.

In the Brisbane South precinct, Yeronga has been a city growth leader, with its median house price rising 31% to $1,115,000 in the past 12 months. Holland Park ($820,000) is up 13%, while Wishart ($800,000), Moorooka ($695,000), Tarragindi ($865,000) and Upper Mount Gravatt ($680,000) all have increased 10-12%.

Further south, growth markets in Logan City include Daisy Hill (up 20% to $570,000) and Windaroo (up 16% to $560,000), while Waterford, Underwood, Eagleby, Edens Landing and Jimboomba have all grown 7-9%.

Among the inner-city suburbs, New Farm has grown 20% to $1,855,000, Bardon is up 17% to $1,175,000, West End is up 13% to $1,115,000 and Woolloongabba has increased 15% to $870,000.

Of the Brisbane West suburbs, St Lucia has jumped 23% to $1,505,000, Graceville is up 17% to $1,035,000 and Taringa, Chapel Hill and Sinnamon Park have all increased 10-11%.