Southern Nsw

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The weather has played an interesting part in the property matrix over the past 18 months, according to the latest Herron Todd White (HTW) rural report.
The valuation firm took a look at the property sales in drought-affected regions across the country. 
"Generally when we have seen depleted cash flows through lack of feed, eventually there has been a corresponding drop in market interest due to the inability to service any expansionary ideas," the valuation firm said.
"Up until recently, from our perspective, it has not had the greatest impact on the general property market however over the past eight weeks we have begun to see decisions made on farm that have been prompted by the lack of cash flow and debt servicing ability.
"While this has had some softening effect on the level of interest within the general market place there is still solid market participation at auctions and marketing campaigns, albeit at a lower level than previously experienced."
The report notes this drought impact is not as evident in the corporate sector as a majority of these purchases are undertaken with funds under management and not borrowings.
"In fact we are seeing an increase in activity of smaller corporate players at present, particularly in central New South Wales around the Forbes district where a number of the smaller entities have been active searching for properties in the $3 million to $7 million range," said the report. 
"We are aware of a transaction under contract at present in central New South Wales which does involve one of the smaller corporate entities mentioned which has been purchased on a sale and lease back agreement.
"The lease equates to a 4% return on initial investment. This would be reflective of the general market now in terms of yields with most tenanted properties in the 3.5-4% range.
"This is a reflection of the substantial increase in underlying land value which has resulted in compression of yields as tenants are unwilling and unable to afford the previously accepted yield range of 4.5-5%."
A recent sale in the Riverina which has just settled is the property called <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-cropping-nsw-barellan-700006818" target="_blank">The Peak</a>.
This property was put out for tender rather than auction and received significant interest from local landholders and nearby landholders looking to expand.
This is a 659 hectare property subdivided to five main paddocks and improved with a basic machinery shed and silo. Soils are good quality red loams typical of the area.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/5/7/the%20peak.jpg" alt="">
The property is located 25 kilometres north- east of Barellan and 25 kilometres south-east of Weethalle.
It has now settled and indicates an overall improved value of $3,188 per hectare which equates to approximately $1,290 per acre.
This is a particularly strong sale and would be considered to be setting new benchmark levels for the area to the south of Weethalle, HTW said. 
"When we look at the property clock of an area, knowing when we have hit the top of the market is always a retrospective analysis," said the report.
"In other words, we will only know we have hit the top of the market after we have passed it. 
"We have previously reported the sale of Forest Vale (pictured below) in the southern Riverina area around Holbrook and Gundagai."
This is a 1,165 hectare open grazing property in a well-regarded location on the Hume Highway and the sale included substantial improvements including a fully renovated circa 1902 homestead.
The reported purchase price of the land was $13.25 million which equates to $11,373 per hectare overall.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/5/7/forest%20vale%201.jpg" alt="">
"Whilst this appears only marginally in front of other smaller area sales in terms of achieved dollar per hectare rates, it is not until we know the details of the balance of the contract that we will be able to accurately assess the real price paid for the land itself.
"However after consideration of the reported price and the scale of the property involved, I believe we will look back at this sale and call it the peak of the market for this area.
"Mind you, only time will tell."
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Drought impact on Central and Southern NSW property market has been limited: HTW rural

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During the course of discussions with some corporate purchasing parties, valuation firm Herron Todd White are starting to see a change in the way the market is perceiving what can be achieved in terms of yield.
According to the latest rural report from Herron Todd White, yields are often at five per cent with some even getting to six per cent.
"With the strong increase in underlying land value seen over the past twelve months in particular, there is strong resistance from lessees to adjusting rates to reflect the original yield achieved when the lease was created," the report noted.
"This resistance is coming from the fact that general income from rural commodities, whilst still good, has not improved in line with the underlying land value."
Scott Fuller, a valuer at HTW, suggested the situation is a repeat of the 2006 to 2008 period where we also saw strong growth in underlying value.
"At this time many leases were in the 3.5 per cent to 4.5 per cent range and we would expect that general leasing rates will soften to four per cent to 4.5 per cent."
"The volume of capital looking to deploy in agriculture in Australia continues to be a surprise and this deployment is seeing unsolicited offers for large scale rural properties made on a regular basis. Whilst previously we have indicated that we felt that the market was at or near its current peak for this cycle, I am beginning to wonder whether this cycle may have some further development to go."
"Whilst there are some short term negative seasonal conditions, our experience is that the underlying market sentiment is still very positive and this coupled with record low interest rates and generally positive returns for livestock may just see some continued upward pressure on the market, particularly if we see any sort of rain event in the next month or so," he concluded.
In the Riverina area there was a big sale in the form of Delta which is 55 kilometres north-west of Jerilderie and 50 kilometres north-east of Conargo.
It was a 8,381 hectare mixed irrigated and grazing property. The sale included approximately 550 hectares of laser levelled flood irrigation with a balance consisting of mostly open to lightly timbered good grazing country. The property was well improved with homestead, manager’s residence, workers’ cottages, machinery sheds and wool shed.
The property sold for $10.025 million. It appears that the open-hay plains grazing country has sold for $975 per hectare ex buildings. This indicates $780 per DSE when viewing the grazing country in isolation.
"This is uncharted territory for the Riverina and indicative of the strength of the current market," HTW said.
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Southern Nsw

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