Rental Markets

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The disparity in rental markets across Australia has been extreme. At one end of the spectrum we have extremely tight rental conditions in cities such as Perth and Darwin where both house and unit annual rental growth is above 10%. At the other end are the unit rental markets of Sydney and Melbourne where rents have plunged over the last year, down -5.3% in Sydney, and -8.0% lower in Melbourne. In a similar vein to housing values, rental markets are stronger within the detached housing sector relative to the unit sector.

“The strength in Perth and Darwin’s rental sector can be attributed to a mix of low supply, due to a recent history of low investor participation, and rising demand as interstate migration trends move into positive territory. The opposite trends in Sydney and Melbourne have seen rental markets weaken; higher rental supply due to a recent history of investor exuberance, weaker demand from negative interstate migration and, more recently, a demand shock from closed international borders where Melbourne and Sydney were the primary recipients of migrant arrivals,” Mr Lawless said.

However, the weak conditions across Sydney and Melbourne unit markets look to be turning. Sydney’s rental index for units has recorded two successive months of mild rises, while Melbourne unit rents edged higher in February after falling for nine of the previous ten months. The improvement in unit rents across Australia’s two largest cities is likely to be at least partially seasonal as demand from domestic students generally rises early in the year, but could also be attributable to more people returning to work in the inner cities as well as workers in some of the hardest hit industries such as hospitality, food and accommodation services returning to employment.

Until international borders re-open and migration rates return to their pre-COVID levels, a more substantial improvement in inner city apartment rents is unlikely.

<img alt="" height="342" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/rental_market_feb.jpg" width="583">

Weaker rental conditions in Sydney and Melbourne relative to rising home values is evident in the gross rental yields, with yields across both cities falling to fresh record lows in February. Gross rental yields in Sydney were recorded at 2.9% at the end of February, while in Melbourne yields averaged 3.0%. Every other capital city is recording gross rental yields around the mid-4% mark or higher, implying positive cash flow opportunities are more likely in these markets.

Australian home values surged 2.1% higher in February; the largest month-on-month change in CoreLogic’s national home value index since August 2003. Spurred on by a combination of record low mortgage rates, improving economic conditions, government incentives and low advertised supply levels, Australia’s housing market is in the midst of a broad-based boom.

Housing values are rising across each of the capital city and rest of state regions, demonstrating the diverse nature of this housing upswing.

According to CoreLogic’s research director, Tim Lawless, a synchronised growth phase like this hasn’t been seen in Australia for more than a decade. “The last time we saw a sustained period where every capital city and rest of state region was rising in value was mid-2009 through to early 2010, as post-GFC stimulus fueled buyer demand.”

Sydney and Melbourne were among the strongest performing markets, recording a 2.5% and 2.1% lift in home values over the month respectively, as Australia’s two largest cities caught up from weaker performance through 2020. The quarterly trend however, is still favouring the smaller cities; Darwin housing values rose 5.5% over the past three months, Hobart values rose 4.8% and Perth was up 4.2%.

“Whether this new found growth in Sydney and Melbourne can be sustained is unclear. Both cities are still recording values below their earlier peaks, however at this current rate of appreciation it won’t be long before Australia’s two most expensive capital city markets are moving through new record highs. With household incomes expected to remain subdued and stimulus winding down, it is likely affordability will once again become a challenge in these cities,” Mr Lawless said.

A housing market trend that has persisted through the COVID period to-date is the weaker performance of unit markets relative to detached housing. Across CoreLogic’s combined capitals index, house values (+4.4% over the past three months) have recorded a growth rate more than three times higher than that of its unit counterparts (+1.4%). There are some tentative signs this trend could become less obvious, with Sydney unit values recording their first month of growth since April last year and Melbourne unit values recording their largest gain since late 2019.
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The disparity in rental markets across Australia has been extreme

jordan_55689

Unit rents down -8% in Melbourne but soar 10% in Perth and Darwin

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Sydney's inner city unit market recorded the second largest falls this year down -5.7 per cent over 2020, according to CoreLogic’s Rental Review for the December 2020 quarter.

In terms of rental dollar value, Sydney has long been the most expensive market in which to rent, however 2020 saw Canberra surpass Sydney as the most expensive market to rent a house at $624 p/w, $10 p/w more expensive than the typical house in Sydney.

Sydney units however maintained their position as the nation’s most expensive capital city in which to rent a unit despite the $36 reduction recorded in the year to December.

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Median unit rent's in Sydney are currently $504, just $8 ahead of Canberra. 

Unit rental prices across the city are down -0.6 per cent for the month, -2.7 per cent for the quarter and -5.7 per cent for the year. However for the decade, the rental market is up 11.8% for units.

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The area's hit hardest in Sydney were the City &amp; Inner South down -12.8 per cent and North Sydney &amp; Hornsby down -7.1 per cent. Following close behind those loss leaders were Ryde and the Inner West, -6.9 per cent as well as Parramatta and the Inner South, -5.3 per cent.

Some regions did see improvement across the wider NSW region including Sutherland and the Central Coast which saw the strongest growth at 5.5 per cent and 5 per cent respectively.

Rental conditions in regional markets have been outperforming capital cities with unit markets recording weak conditions across the largest capital cities.

December 2020 saw Australia’s dwelling market record the largest monthly increase in rental rates since 2010, up 0.6 per cent over the month. The 10 year record can be attributed to growth across the house market which saw a 0.9 per cent rise in rental rates over the month, more than offsetting a -0.1 per cent fall in unit rents.

Across the broad regions, regional markets were the standout performer with both house and unit rents up 1.1 per cent in December, taking house rents 2.9 per cent higher over the final quarter of 2020 and unit rents 2.6 per cent higher.

Unit rental rates across the capital cities fell -0.3 per cent over the month to be down -1.6 per cent over the December quarter. Despite the diverse performance over the year, national rents rose by 1.9 per cent annually in 2020, which was the largest annual increase across the dwelling market since mid-2018. 
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Sydney has long been the most expensive market in which to rent, however 2020 saw Canberra surpass Sydney as the most expensive market to rent a house, with unit prices barely holding their lead

urban.com.au

Sydney unit rental prices plummet, barely $8 ahead of Canberra

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Residex has presented the statistics summary for April looking at rental markets across Australia.
It suggests rents dipped in Sydney for houses over the past year.
The big annual rental falls for houses and units continues to be in Perth and Darwin.
Table 1: April 2016 Summary 
Houses
<a href="/images/2016/06/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-06-03%20at%201.00.17%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/06/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-06-03%20at%201.00.17%20PM.png" alt="">
Units 
<a href="/images/2016/06/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-06-03%20at%201.00.25%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/06/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-06-03%20at%201.00.25%20PM.png" alt="">
Source: Residex
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Residex pinpoints rents dipping in Sydney

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The Echuca residential market has shown no signs of slowing down after a year of further tightening and an increase in off market sales as agents have multiple buyers interested in property before it hits the market.
In many instances this resulted in the asking price or a touch stronger being achieved, HTW's latest report noted.
The valuation firm advised it was consistent across almost all Eucuca market segments with tightening market conditions spreading into rural residential holdings which historically required marginally longer selling periods.
Land sales west of Echuca have been well received amid limited competing supply while Moama has continued to see significant development.
"Nevertheless there is still an imperative to having properties listed correctly with older stock at secondary locations probably being the only slight drag on the market," the HTW report advised.
"Builders are busy and the market is likely to stay tight for some time, particularly the rental market on the back of commencement of the second bridge." 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

New bridge boost for Echuca residential rental market: HTW

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Vacancy rates were steady in May, SQM Research has revealed.
The national residential vacancy rate was unchanged at 2.1% in May 2018, with the number of vacancies Australia-wide sitting at 69,152 properties.
The vacancy rate inched higher in Sydney and Melbourne, while it fell in Brisbane for the fifth straight month.
Sydney’s vacancy rate rose to 2.5% in May, up from 2.3% in April, and higher than 1.7% a year earlier.
Melbourne also saw its vacancy rate inch higher to 1.4%, up from 1.3% in April.
Canberra’s rate was steady at 0.8%, though down from 1.0% a year earlier.
Click to enlarge
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/6/21/Vacancy%20rates%20in%20june%20SQM.JPG" alt="">
SQM's Louis Christopher said there was good news for property investors in Brisbane, where the vacancy rate fell to 2.9% in May, down from 3.0% in April and 3.5% in May 2017.
"The decline in Brisbane represents the fifth straight monthly decline in rental vacancies," he said.
“We have more evidence that the worse is over for Brisbane property investors with vacancies falling for five straight months and even the Brisbane CBD is now recording consistent decline in vacancies. 
"We believe that a rise in interstate migration is lifting population growth rates in Brisbane plus the peak in unit completions is creating this turnaround in the rental market,” he said.
Hobart's vacancy rate was steady at 0.7%, but up from 0.5% a year ago.
Darwin’s vacancy rate rose to 3.5% from 3.3% in April.
Perth’s vacancy rate was steady at 4.1%, but down from 5.1% a year earlier as the oversupply of rental properties eases in that city.
Adelaide’s vacancy rate was also steady at 1.3%, but down from 1.7% a year ago.
Christopher, the managing director of SQM Research, said asking rents had eased in Sydney with greater supply of rental accommodation, giving some relief to home seekers.
“There are considerably more vacancies in Sydney now compared to a year ago, so landlords have lowered their asking rents slightly, which is favouring renters," stated Mr. Christopher
Capital city asking rents for houses fell over the month to 12 June 2018 by 0.5% to $551 a week.
Unit asking rents slipped 0.2% to $444 a week.
Over the year, asking house rents rose just 0.4%, while unit asking rents rose modestly by 0.9%.
While the asking rent for a three-bedroom house in Sydney remains the highest in the nation at $715 a week, rents fell 1.6% over the month to June 12, with the upward trend in the vacancy rate easing pricing pressures.
Asking unit rents now stand at $523, down by 0.5% over the month.
Canberra is catching up to Sydney with housing asking rents now standing at $631 a week and 451 for units, after growth of 2.1% for houses and units over the month.
In Melbourne, asking rents for houses were down over the month to June 12 by 0.8% to $529 while unit asking rents rose by 0.5% to $412.
In line with the fall in vacancies, Brisbane rents registered a rise for the past 30 days with rents for houses rising by 0.8% to $450 a week and units rising by 0.4% to $369 a week.
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Brisbane vacancy rate fall for fifth straight month: SQM

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A finder.com.au survey has found that over three million renters believe they may be renting for the rest of their life. 
Their research found that 38% of Aussies are currently renting and just 19% of Australian renters intend to buy property in the near future.
5% of Aussies are currently ‘rentvesting’ meaning they are renting and also own a property.
The research ties in with all the recent reports out highlighting the rental price growth trends across the nation’s capital cities, several of which identified Brisbane as one of the most affordable cities to rent a house or unit.
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