Propertymarket

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Most people don’t let the facts get in the way of an entrenched attitude.
For six months or more, I’ve been getting blank stares or responses like “Seriously?” whenever I suggest to investors they should be considering Hobart and Tasmania.
It’s really easy to get a bad reputation and extremely hard to lose it. Tasmania has the image of a basket base economy. A state that’s losing population. A property market bereft of growth.
For many years, all of that has been true. It’s true no longer.
But most people won’t be convinced until they read there’s a boom on. And by then it will be too late to buy well.
Perhaps it is already. According to the latest House Price Report from Domain, Hobart median prices rose 8.7% for houses and 7.1% for apartments in 2015. The apartment result is the second best among the capital cities, after Sydney.
Other research sources have smaller growth numbers for Hobart but there’s no doubt that this market is moving. Throughout 2015, sales activity rose. Each quarter of the year recorded more sales than the same period the year before. Inevitably that translates into price growth.
Why is this happening? Because the Tasmanian economy is mounting a strong recovery. I’ve been recording this over the past six months or so, as an increasing number of surveys and reports by major organisations like ANZ Bank, NAB and others have recorded increasingly positive outlooks for the state economy.
Here are a few of them:
<ul>
<li>The NAB business survey for August 2015 showed business confidence in Tasmania at plus 12 — three times higher than the next best states, NSW and Queensland. Chamber of Commerce CEO Michael Bailey said at the time this was further proof that Tasmania’s economy was looking up. “There’s a feeling Tasmania is a very exciting place to be right now,” he said.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>MyState’s quarterly report showed a rebound in economic indicators for Tasmania. MyState’s David Harradine said Tasmania was no longer the softest state economy on several indicators. “The lower Australian dollar, plus low interest rates, are providing an important tailwind,” he says. “This will continue to present opportunities for improvements ... The lower dollar is positive for the tourism, agriculture and manufacturing sectors which together represent a significant portion of overall activity and jobs.”</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>A Sensis survey found that Tasmania leads the nation in business confidence and its State Government is the most popular among small businesses. “Businesses see the Government as supportive and interested in small business and believe it is working to reduce bureaucracy,” Sensis CEO John Allan said. The Sensis Business Index showed business confidence has tripled in the state, rising 46 points to +64 and is now 25 points above the national average. Hobart was the most confident capital city, followed by Sydney and Brisbane, while confidence in regional Tasmania was up 52 points to +60, which ws the highest regional score in the nation.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>A Deloitte Access Economics Business Outlook report described the Tasmanian economy as “well and truly on the rise”.</li>
<li>Tasmanian Chamber of Commerce CEO Michael Bailey said the effect of Australia’s post-mining boom slump on interest and exchange rates was breathing life into Tasmania’s tourism, manufacturing, forestry, building and overseas student industries. “We are seeing phenomenal opportunities, particularly for Tasmania’s agricultural and aquaculture industries,” he said.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>State Treasurer Peter Gutwein said the State Government was working to grow the economy with its $315 million jobs package and $1.8 billion infrastructure program.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The quarterly ANZ/Property Council survey said Tasmania is about to experience a surge in foreign investment. It forecast that foreign investors would be responsible for 14% of residential purchases in Tasmania in the March 2016 Quarter, compared to 4% or below throughout the quarters of 2015. 
</li>
</ul>
The situation in Tasmania right now feels a little bit like 2003. Back then, after prices had surged in mainland cities like Melbourne, investors looked across Bass Strait, noticed how cheap everything was and generated a price boom.
Hobart currently has a median dwelling price around $330,000, compared to $600,000 in Melbourne and $775,000 in Sydney.
Cheap real estate, a market with rising momentum, underpinned by a strongly moving economy - it’s a package worth considering.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Tasmanian property market worth considering: Terry Ryder

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Newcastle has seen property boom over the past three years and valuers Herron Todd White (HTW) noted the figures show it has been the fastest growing regional city for the past two years.
Once perceived as a gritty and undesirable industrial town dominated by BHP and coal, Newcastle has transformed into a desirable coastal regional city, thanks in part to some major urban renewal projects, the valuation firm suggest.
Traditionally, the Newcastle property market has been dictated by the Sydney market due to its close proximity.
Newcastle’s average house prices are still under half that of Sydney, attracting a large number of investors looking for an affordable alternative close by.
However, there are a few factors at play to suggest that while the Sydney market obviously has a strong influence, it is not the only measure influencing the local market.
Newcastle still has its industrial roots and with the Hunter Valley coal mines on the doorstep, the city is the largest coal exporting port in the world.
During the global financial crisis of 2008, while the major cities saw property values suffer negative movement, Newcastle and the Hunter Valley property prices were experiencing the effects of one of the biggest mining booms in history, avoiding any negative movement.
Perhaps the biggest influencer in the current Newcastle market is the amount of urban development occurring in the city. With a $90 million refurbishment of the city’s largest shopping centre along with the largest infrastructure development the city has undertaken in decades, Newcastle is fast losing its industrial stigma and becoming a desirable and affordable sea change destination.
A Newcastle inner city one bedroom apartment has been recently sold for $548,000 (pictured below).
Situated within the Tattersalls building,<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-nsw-newcastle-127767894" target="_blank"> the 603/9 Watt Street apartment</a> comes with main bedroom with walk-in robe, balcony with views of Newcastle's working harbour, and secure car space.
It is within close proximity of Hunter Street mall, the harbour foreshore as well as Newcastle's pristine beaches.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/4/11/watt%20st%20.jpg" alt="">
Another new offering is a King Street five bedroom house with the price guide of $1.5 million (pictured below).
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-newcastle-127900482" target="_blank">The 81 King Street house</a> is proportioned over three levels with a generally north facing aspect.
It comprises a self contained (top two levels) three bedroom, with a large living room, older kitchen and bathroom and harbour "snippets".
Ground floor features a self contained two bedroom and sunroom flat with an older kitchen and bathroom and large open plan living room.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/4/11/king%20st.jpg" alt="">
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Newcastle houses going for half Sydney prices: HTW

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Sydney’s fast-paced property market is pricing the city’s key workers out of metropolitan areas, threatening the viability of the key services they provide to our city.
This was the finding of a wide-ranging study, Key Worker Housing Affordability in Sydney, commissioned by member-owned Teachers Mutual Bank, Firefighters Mutual Bank and Police Bank, and undertaken by the University of Sydney’s Urban Housing Lab led by Professor Nicole Gurran and Professor Peter Phibbs.  
The report detailed declining levels of housing affordability across greater and metropolitan Sydney for key workers - including teachers, firefighters, nurses, police, ambulance drivers and paramedics.
The report identifies five key priorities for policy makers and private sector stakeholders to consider, which include:  
<ul>
<li>Reducing the deposit gap: Proposes a shared equity model allowing key workers to buy up to 75 percent of the property’s value, reducing deposit requirements to between five and 10 percent. </li>
<li>Securing alternative development and financing models: Proposes ‘deliberative development’ models, an alternative to conventional multi-unit development models which could achieve prices which are 10-12 percent lower than the current market.</li>
<li>Establishing alternative tenure arrangements (Community Land Trust or ‘CLT’ model): Proposes that homes are purchased with a conventional mortgage and/or the land component is rented at a marginal rate e.g. two percent of ‘unimproved’ capital value. A CLT model in NSW could reduce purchase costs by 25 percent.</li>
<li>Reducing development and or construction costs and passing savings on to eligible purchasers: Smarter designs, construction material and processes could reduce costs by 25-35 percent, equating to savings of $75,000 to $100,000 for 2-3-bedroom units or townhouses.</li>
<li>Reducing land costs (inclusionary planning): Mandating that 20 percent of dwellings in all major new housing developments are affordable to moderate income earners, including key workers, could deliver 6,000 to 7,000 affordable ‘start-up’ homes per year in Sydney. </li>
</ul>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/12/TMBANK%201.jpg" alt="">
The report found that in the 10 years leading up to 2016, key areas in Sydney lost up to 20 percent of teachers, nurses, policy and emergency service workers to outer and regional areas.
Sydney’s Inner South West (-14.6%), Inner West (-11.3%), Eastern suburbs (-15.2%), Ryde (-14.2%) and Parramatta (-21.4%) all experienced a net loss of key workers, while areas including the Illawarra (+10.5%), Southern Highlands (+17%) and Hunter Valley (+13.6%) all had net gains.
The nature of this group’s shift work combined with living a distance away in areas with unsuitable public transport meant 77.4 percent of key workers drove their private motor vehicle to work in 2016, compared with just over 43 percent for the general population. 
Only five percent of key workers used public transport to get to work, compared with 12.7 percent for the general population. 
Despite reports of Sydney’s housing market cooling, Teachers Mutual Bank CEO Steve James said key workers’ hip pockets are still under serious pressure.
“Any so-called cooling of the housing market has not trickled down to prices in the range that key workers such as teachers, ambulance drivers, firefighters, paramedics and police officers can afford. It would have to be the Ice Age for any such cooling to fit their salary and household budget,” he said.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/12/TMBANK%202.jpg" alt="">
“For teachers who are earning under six figure incomes, a 10 percent deposit on a $1.5 million house is not feasible. While a slight drop in prices in some areas can be factored in, it’s a drop in the ocean for the key workers who protect and support our city. They still can’t afford to live within 100km of where they work.”
 Mr James added that the pressure this situation puts on people already working in high pressure jobs is unfair, whether they’re looking to rent or buy.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/12/TMBANK%203.jpg" alt="">
“Longer commute times, especially in private vehicles, lead to significantly higher financial costs and serious social consequences for key workers and their families, disrupting work life balance and impacting their lifestyle,” he said.
The report also looks at urgent solutions that can be implemented to help key workers buy their own homes both close to their place of work and their established support networks including family, friends, and the wider community including local groups, clubs, and schools. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/12/tmbank%204.jpg" alt="">
The report reveals that between 2003 and 2016, the median price of established homes in Sydney more than doubled from $400,000 to around $900,000 beyond the reach of many key workers, especially those who are single. Soaring rents have heightened the crisis, making a 20 percent home loan deposit out of reach for many key workers.
For instance, a single key worker eyeing a property in Sydney’s inner ring at the 2016 median price of just over $1 million would need 13 years to save for a deposit. This is a sharp increase from the 8.4 years needed to save a 20 percent deposit in 2006. 
“For a key worker, finding somewhere affordable to live in reasonable proximity to their work is becoming impossible for those not already in the property market.
“The report has found that the closest local government area with an affordable median rental price for an entry level enrolled nurse is Cessnock in the Hunter Valley. That’s about 150km from any hospital in Sydney city, making it a 300km round trip per day. 
“Without urgent and genuine intervention on the part of policy makers and other institutions, a growing number of key workers in NSW and Sydney may never be able to afford to own their own home within reasonable distance of Sydney,” said Mr James.
Police Bank CEO Tony Taylor said that the five key measures identified in the report to improve housing affordability for key workers were worth serious consideration.
“We could see more key workers pushed further out of the Sydney metropolitan area, the effects of  which will be felt by each and every one of us."
“Addressing these key barriers to housing affordability could deliver residential housing products in metropolitan Sydney as much as 20 percent cheaper than today’s prices, and with vastly more manageable deposits for key workers looking to buy a home,” he said.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/12/tmbank%205.jpg" alt="">
 
 
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