Ownership

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The impact of COVID-19 has seen young Australians more committed to home ownership, according to research by the listed mortgage broking firm Mortgage Choice.

Around 45 per cent of survey respondents are more likely to want to purchase a home now, with a similar number feeling optimistic about achieving their homeownership goals.

Over 60 per cent of young people are reducing their spending, with 58.5 per cent adding more to their saving accounts and 43 per cent are applying for government grants for first home buyers.

Mortgage Choice chief executive Susan Mitchell says young people are not giving up on the great Australian dream despite the challenges of getting in to the property market.

"In times of uncertainty, it is human nature to want stability, and this is what investing in property can provide," Mitchell says.

“The fact that first home buyers can now access the most competitive home loan rates on record and unprecedented levels of government support such as grants and schemes provides compelling incentives to act on property ownership dreams.”

“I would encourage homebuyers who are navigating their way into first-time property purchase to enlist the help of an experienced mortgage broker to help them put their best foot forward.

First home buyers have been the most active segment over the COVID-19 pandemic. Finder's research showed that 11,018 first home buyers bought a property in July, 20 per cent more than May.

Over August data from the ABS showed mortgage approvals for first home buyers jumped by 17.7 per cent over August.
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Around 45 per cent of survey respondents are more likely to want to purchase a home now, with a similar number feeling optimistic about achieving their homeownership goals

Joel Robinson

COVID-19 sees young Australians more keen on committing to home ownership

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GUEST OBSERVATION
“Churning” out of and back in to home ownership is becoming common. We haven’t caught up.
More than in many countries, in Australia home ownership has traditionally been seen as a journey, with most of us aspiring to <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14616718.2014.984827" target="_blank">own a home</a> and <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/property-observer" target="_blank">pay down a mortgage</a> by the time we retire.
Because it’s been seen as a one-way street, we have tended to worry most about the first big transition: moving from renting to getting a mortgage, assuming that afterwards things will be okay. But things are becoming more complicated.
The charts below are built from microdata from the Bureau of Statistics <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/6541.0.30.001Main+Features12013-14" target="_blank">survey of income and housing</a>. Each shows the changing housing profiles of Australians in a particular age group between 1990 and 2015.
The bars show – from left to right – the share of Australians who are renting, have large mortgage debt, moderate mortgage debt, low mortgage debt; and have become outright owners, both in 1990 and 2015.
Then and now. Home tenure by type, per cent
25 - 34 year olds:
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/283975/original/file-20190714-173360-7fwyjs.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
35 - 54 year olds:
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/283974/original/file-20190714-173360-rfaur1.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
55 - 64 year olds:
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/283976/original/file-20190714-173355-12ynhbo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
High debt = mortgage debt-to-income ratio above 200%, middle debt = 100-200%, low debt = below 100%. <a class="source" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6553.0" target="_blank">Author's calculations, ABS 6553.0 microdata</a>
Less ownership, more churning
In each age group there is more renting and less ownership than there used to be.
And among owners, there is much less outright ownership and much more high debt than there used to be, exposing more of them to the risk of losing their homes.
Indeed, data from the <a href="https://melbourneinstitute.unimelb.edu.au/hilda" target="_blank">Household, Income and Labour Dynamics</a> survey shows that in the first decade of this century alone, nearly 2 million people left home ownership and returned to renting.
These “leavers” represent one fifth of all home owners in the decade.
But this wasn’t a one-way street either. Of those who lost their home, nearly two-thirds regained home ownership later in the decade. Astonishingly, 7% of these “churners” moved in and out of home ownership <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/property-observer" target="_blank">more than once</a>.
Who’s leaving, who’s churning?
The edges of home ownership are becoming permeable, in an especially Australian way. Leavers and churners are more common in Australia <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/property-observer" target="_blank">than in Britain</a>, a country which on the surface has a similar high home ownership rate and a well-developed mortgage market.
Leavers appear to be characterised by <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14616718.2015.1115225" target="_blank">mortgage stress, divorce or relationship breakdown and poor health</a>. They have better chances to regaining ownership if they were able to extract relatively large amounts of <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/property-observer" target="_blank">home equity</a> before they leave.
Those who are able to find <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/property-observer" target="_blank">rent-free housing</a>, say from parents, find it easier to save for a deposit to get them back into home ownership.
Some are able to directly access the “<a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/19491247.2017.1278580?journalCode=reuj20" target="_blank">bank of mum and dad</a>”. It is a leg up only available to those with <a href="https://theconversation.com/not-everyone-wins-from-the-bank-of-mum-and-dad-73842" target="_blank">wealthy and willing parents</a>, accentuating the socio-economic divide between owners and renters.
What will have to change?
There are at least three important implications.
First, debt-free home ownership in old age can no longer be regarded as the norm; instead, <a href="https://theconversation.com/more-people-are-retiring-with-high-mortgage-debts-the-implications-are-huge-115134" target="_blank">mortgage stress in old age</a> will become more common as churners take on more debt later in order to regain home ownership.
This raises complex questions around how ageing mortgage holders will manage retirement strategies, superannuation payouts and spending to cope with <a href="https://www.ahuri.edu.au/research/research-in-progress/ahuri-research-projects/mortgage-stress-and-precarious-homeownership-implications-for-older-australians" target="_blank">mortgages that aren’t extinguished</a>.
Second, <a href="https://www.ceda.com.au/CEDA/media/General/Publication/PDFs/HousingAustraliaFinal_Flipsnack.pdf" target="_blank">lifelong renting</a> will become more common. This means governments will need to prepare for an upsurge in spending on <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/property-observer" target="_blank">housing assistance</a> and pressure for legislation to provide greater <a href="https://www.ceda.com.au/CEDA/media/General/Publication/PDFs/HousingAustraliaFinal_Flipsnack.pdf" target="_blank">security of tenure</a> for private renters.
Evidence suggests mortgage indebtedness <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0308518X16688471" target="_blank">depresses wellbeing</a>. On the other hand, people who have abandoned their mortgage experience a notable rebound in wellbeing, especially if they get <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0308518X16688471" target="_blank">secure rental tenure</a>.
Finally, governments cannot just focus on programs that help first home buyers, such as the <a href="https://www.liberal.org.au/latest-news/2019/05/12/helping-australians-buy-their-first-home" target="_blank">First Home Loan Deposit Scheme</a> announced during the election. They will need to design programs that help prevent people from dropping out and help former owners get back.
The growing twilight zone between being an owner and being being a renter is largely unrecognised in the political imagination.
Rachel Ong ViforJ, Professor of Economics, School of Economics, Finance and Property, Curtin University.
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/the-edges-of-home-ownership-are-becoming-porous-its-no-longer-a-one-way-street-119995" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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