Interstate Migration

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<p>Weekly data from realestate.com.au showed 6,556 properties were sold last week, compared to 4,852 in the same week in 2020.</p>

<p>Sales volumes were up 32% nationally over the first 10 weeks of 2021, compared to the 2020 figures.</p>

<p>Sales volume for apartments was slightly higher than the jump in sales volumes for houses. Sales volumes of units were up 31% nationally over the first 10 weeks of 2021, compared to 2020 figures.</p>

<p>Sales volume for houses were up 29%. WA saw the biggest increase in apartments sales at 49% although the number sold was far less compared to the more populous states.</p>

<p>It matches Western Australian-based property investment consultancy, Momentum Wealth, which has reported a significant rise in enquiry from interstate buyers as WA’s residential property market continues to heat up.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=26734]</p>

<p>Momentum Wealth's Emma Everett, said the rise in interstate enquiry was up 164% in the final quarter of 2020 compared to the same time in 2019. Ms Everett said tightening conditions within Perth’s rental market also meant investors were in a position to benefit from a stronger yield play.</p>

<p>Ms Everett said while conditions were ideal for interstate investors considering a Perth investment, area and property selection would remain critical for those looking to benefit from the market upswing.</p>

<p>“Particularly in a recovering market, not all areas improve at the same rate, and there are some locations that may not have the right factors to support strong capital growth, so it is still very dependent on suburb and even individual property selection.”</p>

<p>The same spike is seen in the NT where the volume in unit sales was up 47%, according to the latest data from realestate.com.au.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=90553]</p>

<p>In the high volume states Queensland saw a 44% annual increase in the number of apartments sold over the first 10 weeks, while SA was up 40%.</p>

<p>New South Wales had a 21% jump in apartment sales volume. It was up 37% for ACT apartment volumes this year compared to early 2020.</p>

<p>Director of economic research at realestate.com.au Cameron Kusher noted overall supply levels remain low and demand is unprecedented, resulting in properties selling quickly and sales volumes lifting significantly.</p>

<p>He sees a strong autumn season, despite buyer demand on realestate.com.au slipping by 1% nationally for the second consecutive week last week to be down 2.4% from its peak.</p>
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Weekly data from realestate.com.au showed 6,556 properties were listed as sold last week, compared to 4,852 in the same week in 2020. 

jchancellor

Early 2021 spike in apartment sales volume: Realestate.com.au

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<div>The ABS released its Characteristics of Recent Migrants survey for November 2016 yesterday, a release which the statistician puts out every three years. </div>
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<div>The anti-immgration lobby will be trawling through the figures to see whether migrants were taking all our jobs (go home, we're full!) or not working enough (bludgers!), but in the end the three-year change in the figures wasn't all that remarkable.</div>
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<div>Most migrants are employed, including 82 percent of skilled migrants, while the unemployment rate for Australian born citizens at 5.4 per cent was comfortably lower than the national average.</div>
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<div>The labour force participation rate for recent migrants and temporary residents remained high at 70 per cent, and 84 per cent reported that wages or a salary were the main source of household income. </div>
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<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Recent migrants head to capitals</span></strong></div>
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<div>The system is broadly working as it should, then, while the recent increase in permanent settlers is largely accounted for by an increased refugee intake from Iraq and Syria.  </div>
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<div>One significant trend which stood out to me was the clear acceleration in recent migrants with their usual place of residence in one of the capital cities. </div>
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<div>Migrants have always preferred the capital cities, of course, but at 88.3 percent the figure has clearly been accelerating higher over the past dozen years to now sit at incredibly high levels.  </div>
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<div>Given that Australia's rate of immigration has also increased dramatically over the past dozen years this is potentially a hugely significant demographic trend.  </div>
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<div>About 55 percent of Australia's population growth is presently accounted for by net overseas migration, while the other 45 percent relates to natural growth (being more births than deaths). </div>
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<div>The trend towards capital cities holds true across all visa classes, but particularly so for those arriving as international students, a means of entry which is set to the most consequential driver of demographic trends.</div>
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<div>Looking at the geographical figures it becomes clear that since the peak of the resources boom Western Australia is not attracting or retaining recent migrants as successfully as it once was, while the southern states have not been retaining as many migrants as they might wish to. </div>
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<div>The slack has been instead picked up by Sydney, and to a lesser extent Melbourne.  </div>
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<div>Interestingly Sydney loses a chunk of its population each year interstate or to other parts of regional New South Wales, meaning that the residual population of Greater Sydney is heavily tilted towards overseas born residents. </div>
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<div>Melbourne and Brisbane on the other hand are attracting migrants internally, and as a result absolute population growth is tracking at record highs in Greater Melbourne, and is picking up speed in Brisbane.</div>
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<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of </em><a href="https://allenwargent.com/"><span class="s2"><em>AllenWargent</em></span></a><em> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and </em><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/"><span class="s2"><em>blogger</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
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<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
<h3 class="post-title entry-title"><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2017/06/migrants-flock-to-capital-cities-stay"> </a></h3>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Migrants flocking to capital cities - and staying there too: Pete Wargent

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<p>The Brisbane residential market historically lags behind the Sydney and Melbourne markets valuation firm Herron Todd White recently noted.</p>
<p>The affordability plays as large numbers of southern state residents find their higher priced capitals are becoming hard work.</p>
<p>"Then a few pioneering souls realise if they sell their Surry Hills renovatable terrace for a very princely sum, they can move to our sunshine city and purchase a magnificent suburban abode within a short commute of the CBD – and still have plenty of change leftover for a very shiny car, boat, trip or local investment property," HTW suggested.</p>
<p>"There’s a bit of a chicken-or-egg with this movement.</p>
<p>"Some say employers drive the move first - which was mostly true during the mining boom where we felt the benefits – particularly if there were FIFO residents and/or the headquarters of mining companies set up in our town.</p>
<p>"Another theory is that relative affordability drives demand from southern residents first, and companies follow.</p>
<p>"This seems feasible too.</p>
<p>"It’s hard to retain workers, even those on a great wage, when rent and mortgage costs are taking a fair chunk of your weekly wage out of your pocket.</p>
<p>"Many big employers will recognise this, as well as the comparably better commercial costs of living in our well-connected capital, and will seek to set up an office where the sun shines."</p>
<p>This momentum builds with more employment in a great location and property costs that won’t ruin your savings account, the firm added, though currently the interstate migration "isn’t great" at present, as you can see from the ABS chart (3.2).</p>
<p>The state’s average annual since 2004 is around 15,000 persons.</p>
<p>As at 2014, we recorded an annual number short of 6,000.</p>
<p>The issue is that while there is a sizeable gap in property values between Brisbane and Sydney/ Melbourne, job numbers are down and our property prices have remained relatively uneventful.</p>
<p>"Iinterstate migration has been in negative territory over the past 12 months to two years and while inner city blue-chip property has seen attractive gains, mid-priced, mid-distance suburbs have seen their homes remain fairly steady in value.</p>
<p>"If you travel further afield to the high-rent fringes of our capital, then these markets are even softer.</p>
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<p>"When we do start to see numbers of residents increase, the rising tide floats all boats," HTW forecast.</p>
<p>"Given the relatively small size of the Brisbane property market, everyone gets a boost, although we traditionally see prices rise fastest in those suburbs close to town first with our pebble-in-the-pond approach becoming firmly established over the past few cycles now.</p>
<p>"As far as we can tell, there’s no great interstate rush to Queensland as yet, and while we continue to be a steady, solid performer compared to other property markets in the nation, not many are predicting runaway price growth in the near future.</p>
<p>"If a major infrastructure project were to get off the ground, such as Cross River Rail, this may improve the performance of the economy however, this is still considered to be some time away.</p>
<p>"Probably best to just buy safe and wait for long-term gains," it concluded.</p>
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Interstate Migration

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