Christmas

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A father of four children has bought them all an apartment for Christmas.
The Sunday Telegraph reported finance worker Majed Akil was afraid his adult children would never be able to save up a deposit on their own, so used his savings and equity in the family home to put down deposits on four apartments in Liverpool.
They are in the Coronation’s The Paper Mill project at Liverpool.
The four siblings are aged 19 to 30.
Two have taken over the mortgages with their partners.
The other units will be rented out until the younger two complete their university studies and are ready to move in.
“I wanted to give them a head start because I think it has become impossible for our kids to save $100,000 to $150,000,” Mr Akil said.
He bought the two bedroom units off the plan for between $487,000 and $546,000.
The similar apartments are on different floors.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Dad buys four kids an apartment each for Christmas in Coronation's The Paper Mill

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Ray White Bundoora seem to be the keenest agency scheduling auctions on the Saturday before Christmas.
The agency in north east Melbourne have four homes on their books for the 23rd of December, the only agency in the country with a handful of auctions set for that date.
Two of the properties are targeting developers.
One of the homes in Bundoora is set to be traded for the first time in over three decades. It last sold for $75,000 in 1984 and is now being marketed with a $690,000 to $740,000 auction guide.
Ray White Bundoora agent Olivia Wang said its a developer's dream or a perfect opportunity for an enthusiastic renovator.
The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-bundoora-127108046" target="_blank">three bedroom home</a> sits on a near 590 sqm corner parcel and has a rental appraisal of between $350 to $400 a week.
Another developer targeted <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-preston-127056078" target="_blank">property is in Preston</a>, nine kilometres north of the Melbourne CBD.
Offered with an auction guide of $820,000 to $900,000 through Joe Torzillo, the current run down home on 560 sqm has three bedrooms and two living areas, with a kitchen still in original condition.
It last traded for $510,000 in 2009.
The closest home to the Ray White Bundoora office is a remodelled and renovated <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-bundoora-127049446" target="_blank">Regan Court home</a> (top and below).
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/12/8/eve2.jpg" alt="">
Complete with swimming pool on its 635 sqm parcel, it is being marketed by Joe Torzillo with $820,000 to $900,000 hopes.
A <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-mill+park-127068642" target="_blank">Mill Park home</a> north of Melbourne goes to auction on the same day, located in the sought-after Rivergum Estate.
Set on 625 sqm, the family home has four bedrooms, two bathrooms and a theatre room. It has a $950,000 to $1,045,000 guide through Vanya Kostur.
In NSW there is <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-unit-nsw-east+gosford-127084954" target="_blank">a Gosford district offering</a> at 3.30pm on Saturday December 23.
 
 
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Last minute pre-Christmas auctions ahead of Santa's visit

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In what is already shaping as a hotly contested retail high season, the early signs are not promising for consumer spending over Christmas 2017. The picture from November's Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment survey is one of income pressures, nervousness about the year ahead and consumers looking to keep Christmas spending on a tight rein. A repeat of 2016's 'tepid' Christmas spend looks likely.
November's Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment survey showed the consumer mood slipping back into slightly pessimistic territory after a brief moment of optimism in October (see <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/Article/29127" target="_blank">Consumer Sentiment Index back below 100)</a>. Responses to our annual question on Christmas spending underscore the lacklustre tone. The question asks if consumers expect to spend less, about the same, or more on Christmas gifts than last year. Just under a third of Australians expect to spend less on gifts this year than last, with 54% expecting to spend about the same and just 11% spending more – the lowest proportion since we began running this question in 2009.
The simplest summary measure of intentions is an index based on the net balance of responses, i.e. 100 + %more – %less. On this basis, the 2017 reading is 78, down 2.3% from 79.9 in 2016. This year's read is comparable to the 2009-13 period which saw five successive years of readings in the 77-79 range . While far from the disastrous, 66 reading in the depths of the GFC, the 2017 index is also a far cry from the most recent peak in 2015 (87.0) and the record high in 2007 (91). Overall, the 78 reading is broadly consistent with flat per capita growth in retail sales. Allowing for population gains, that points to aggregate retail sales growth of around 1.6%yr, in line with the current subdued pace and down on the 2% gain in 2016.
The survey detail offers few redeeming positives. The state responses show consumers in Vic and NSW are a little less inclined to restrain spending and Qlder's are less pessimistic than last year but those in SA and WA are tilting more towards cut backs (the latter a notable weak spot). Sub-group variations were also fairly minor although responses amongst those aged over 55, middle income earners and consumers with a mortgage show bigger pull backs vs a year ago.
The wider picture from Consumer Sentiment is of a similar lead-in to last year. That puts the Christmas 2017 in the 'middle of the pack' by long term historical standards but will clearly come as a disappointment for Australian retailers who have already endured a lacklustre, stop-start year for sales. 
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Christmas spending plans point to flat finish to a flat year: Matthew Hassan

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<div class="section">GUEST OBSERVER</div>
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<div class="section">With barely 30 shopping days left till Christmas, the latest signs from the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment survey point to a more downbeat holiday spend than a year ago but with plans still in slightly better shape than other 'post GFC' years. <div class="layoutArea">
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The November Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment survey included an additional question on plans for spending on Christmas gifts, asking: “will spend less, about the same, or more compared to last year?” The results show consumers taking a more restrained approach in 2016 with 34% planning to 'spend less’, 52% 'the same’ and 14% ‘more’. That compares to a 30%:53%:17% mix in 2015.
<a href="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.05.31%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.05.31%20AM.png" alt="">
 
The simplest summary measure of intentions is an index based on the net balance of responses, i.e. 100 + %more – %less. On this basis, the 2016 reading is 79.9, down from 87.0 in 2015. That in turn followed five successive years of readings in the 77-79 range, a disastrous 66 reading in the depths of the GFC and a record high 91 during the consumer boom in 2007.
<a href="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.06.41%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.06.41%20AM.png" alt="">
 
All up that places 2016's read down sharply on 2015 but still a touch above the lacklustre results over the previous five years. Going by the retail sales results in those years this looks to be roughly consistent with a 1.5-2%yr rise in per capita spending. With population growth tracking at 1.4%yr, total retail sales will likely be up about 3-31⁄2%yr – a 'so-so' year compared to the 5% gain in 2015.
<a href="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.07.42%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.07.42%20AM.png" alt="">
 
The survey detail shows the biggest cooling off vs a year ago has been in NSW, with spending plans notably firmer in Vic and improving marginally on last year for consumers in SA, Qld and WA. That said, spending plans in SA and the 'mining states' are still tracking at markedly weaker levels than in NSW and Vic. By sub-group, the biggest pull backs vs a year ago have been amongst 18-34 year old's, those on lower incomes and females. Those with annual incomes in the $60-100k were notably more positive, both compared to previous years and with other groups.
The picture from Consumer Sentiment more generally also shows a 'lukewarm' lead-in to the holiday period. Sentiment is tracking at similar levels to last year but with views around family finances notably softer.
<a href="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.08.37%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-23%20at%209.08.37%20AM.png" alt="">
 
Casting our gaze back further, over the entire 42yr history of the survey, the sentiment lead-in to Christmas 2016 is in the middle of the pack – a long way above the bleak recession years in the early-90s and early-80s and deeply unsettled GFC year in 2008 but also a far cry from the 'golden' years in the mid-80s, the early to mid-2000s and the post GFC bounce in 2009. We will leave it to readers to draw parallels with weather patterns, cricket performances and the like. 
Matthew Hassan is senior economist with <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
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Christmas

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