Shopping Centre

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Queensland developer Honeycombes Property Group has unveiled plans to deliver a $140 mixed use development at Ferny Grove in Brisbane's north-west.

Part of the project, which will include a new shopping centre called Ferny Grove Central, will be an apartment complex called The Fernery, which will have 82 apartments and a recreational deck.

Construction of the development which adjoins Ferny Grove Station is expected to commence in the first quarter of 2021.

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The Townsville-based Honeycombes won the contract in 2017. The property financier MaxCap is its joint venture capital partner.

The project will transform the area into a vibrant suburban Transit Oriented Development (TOD). /in urban planning, a transit-oriented development (TOD) is a type of urban development that maximizes the amount of residential, business and leisure space within walking distance of public transport.

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Honeycombes have previously success in a TOD. In 2015 they completed their award-winning $252 million redevelopment of Coorparoo Square, along Brisbane’s CBD eastern fringe, which featured 366 residential apartments and retail space delivered over three stages in a partnership with Frasers Property Australia. The redevelopment of Queensland’s first Myer building awarded with the prestigious Best Mixed-Use Development by the Property Council of Australia. 
Peter Honeycombe, managing director of Honeycombes Property Group, says the Ferny Grove development will breathe new life in to the suburb and will create a neighbourhood village atmosphere.

"We have already received a high amount of unprecedented interest from the local market, highlighting the level of demand for both residential apartments and retail opportunities,” Mr Honeycombe said.

Honeycombe says the community feedback received has been an important part of their ongoing refinement of the approved development form.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6669]

“We have held more than a dozen different public forums, door knocked hundreds of residences neighbouring the project, and letter box dropped thousands of information fliers to keep the local community in the loop.

"This level of communication will continue during construction to ensure that the community remains aware of the progress on site.” 

Honeycombes and MaxCap are expecting to announce a number of major tenants in coming months to the 12,000 sqm shopping precinct, with a mix of high-profile national retailers including supermarkets, fitness centres, child-care and cinema providers expected to be secured on long-term leases.  
Ferny Grove is considered an ‘end of line’ rail station catering for more than 5,000 passengers per day transiting through the transport hub.
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Construction of the development which adjoins Ferny Grove Station is expected to commence in the first quarter of 2021.



Joel Robinson

Revealed: $140 million plans for mixed-use Ferny Grove Central project in Brisbane

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In anticipation of the establishment of the HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, HomeCo has entered into a binding contract to acquire Glenmore Park Town Centre for $150 million.
It has also agreed terms to a contract to acquire a second Sydney metropolitan neighbourhood centre for total consideration of approximately $220 million.
Glenmore Park Town Centre is a Woolworths, Coles and ALDI anchored centre with over 40% of gross income derived from supermarkets and over 30% derived from healthcare and wellness services.
HomeCo Executive Chairman &amp; CEO David Di Pilla said, “the proposed HomeCo Daily Needs REIT is consistent with HomeCo’s stated own, develop and manage strategy and establishes the platform for HomeCo to unlock additional value and growth through further capital recycling and ongoing management fee streams from assets under management."
"The property acquisitions announced today provide the HomeCo Daily Needs REIT with additional exposure to key growth corridors within the Western Sydney metropolitan area and will be important seed assets for the Daily Needs REIT,” he concluded.
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Glendora Shopping Centre sells for $150 million

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A Sydney-based private investor with an overseas partner, has outlaid $21.3 million for a Woolworths anchored shopping centre at Coburg.
The strata-titled Coburg Hill Shopping Centre was sold with a WALE of 11 years including 14 years remaining on the Woolworths lease which accounts for 72% of the centre’s 4419 square metres GLA.
The sale was made on a passing yield of 6%.
The Centre is 97% leased with a net passing income of $1.28 million from Woolworths and the seven specialty stores including Degani and Regency Pharmacy.
According to CBRE’s Victorian Retail Investments team lead by Justin Dowers, Kevin Tong &amp; Lewis Tong the transaction represented an extremely good deal given the strata title nature of the holding.
The sale follows that of the Woolworths Group owned Keysborough South Shopping Centre which last month sold to a local investor for $33.13 million.
The property attracted 11 offers including locally based Chinese investors before the current lockdown.
Mr Dowers said the sale provided further evidence that investors continue to seek safe havens in assets underwritten by long term leases to non-discretionary spend tenants.
“This is the second sub $50 million shopping centre sale in Victoria, post COVID-19, and both have attracted significant interest from a range of local and off-shore buyer groups.
“Investors are obviously demonstrating that they have a good appetite for this sort of stock and that should give institutional owners confidence in their sub $50m retail holdings around the country,” Mr Dowers said.
The average yield of the last 10 Victorian neighbourhood centre sales is 6.15%.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/6/12/Screen%20Shot%202020-06-10%20at%2012.25.20%20pm.png" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/6/12/Screen%20Shot%202020-06-10%20at%2012.25.20%20pm.png" alt=""> 
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Coburg shopping centre sold for $21.3 million

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According to JLL’s annual Australian Shopping Centre Investment Review and Outlook 2020, the retail sector will be a key focus for investors seeking to take advantage of the more attractive pricing and depth of opportunities available. 
2020 Outlook:
JLL’s Joint Head of Retail Investments – Australia Jacob Swan said, “While retail investment volumes were light in the first half of 2019 ($1.8 billion), we saw a real change in momentum in the back half of the year ($4.5 billion) which saw 2H activity rise to the levels seen over the last five years.
“Institutional owners with large existing retail portfolios continue to revise their investment strategies and are likely to selectively divest assets in 2020. 
“REITs are transitioning from a long term historical strategy of accumulating retail assets to a more selective approach to portfolio construction.
“There is also likely to be a growing shift towards the re-classification of sub-sectors (such as regional and sub-regional) which may have implications for valuations, performance benchmarks and the pricing of risk by investors,” said Mr Swan.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/2/5/shopping%20centre%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/5/shopping%20centre%201.jpg" alt="">
Source: JLL Research
Deep pool of capital remains in 2020:
Joint Head of Retail Investments – Australia Sam Hatcher said, “A range of dynamic new capital sources are emerging to absorb these institutionally owned assets, driven by the opportunistic timing, attractive yields relative to core office/industrial and the longer term potential for re-development and re-positioning. 
“A fragmentation of ownership will continue to occur in the retail sector as major owners become more selective towards the assets they retain in their portfolios and as new players build scale in the sector.
“Properties with strong underlying land value and long term future development potential are highly sought by investors. 
“While there has been less liquidity for larger centres, there has been a consistently deep pool of capital for non-discretionary anchored centres and single-tenant retail assets.
“Freestanding supermarkets and Bunnings Warehouses with strong covenants and long leases have continued to attract investor interest.
“In addition, retail assets in metropolitan areas with development potential remain highly sought after,” said Mr Hatcher.
Private investors expected to be active in 2020:
Mr Hatcher said, “The fact that private investors were net buyers in 2019, for the first time after six consecutive years as net sellers, is significant. Private Investors were net buyers in 2008, 2009 and 2010 when asset pricing was attractive. 
“Private capital is opportunistic and is acquiring assets to take advantage of the depth of opportunities available.  Demand is also strong for core retail assets, particularly for neighbourhood shopping centres in metropolitan locations and for single-tenanted retail assets with long leases,” said Mr Hatcher.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/2/5/shopping%20centre%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/5/shopping%20centre%202.jpg" alt="">
Source: JLL Research
The year in review 2019:
After a slow start for retail investment transactions in 2019, liquidity improved in the second half as more capital sources emerged to take advantage of more attractive pricing.
It was the slowest first half in 2019 for retail investments since 2009.  Sales in the first half were $1.8 billion, with activity for the second half of the year stronger at $4.5 billion.  Transaction activity was at a seven year
low in 2019 in value terms ($6.3 billion)
Net buyers and sellers changed as a result of caution in the markets.
The two major institutional categories, REITs and Unlisted Funds, turned from net buyers to net sellers in 2019.  Private investors were net buyers in 2019 ($795 million) following six consecutive years of being net sellers.
Regional centres accounted for the highest proportion of shopping centres sold over 2019 at 29% or $1.8 billion.  Neighbourhood and sub-regional centres accounted for 21% (1.3 billion) and 17% ($1.1 billion) of total transactions respectively.
New South Wales accounted for 33% of total sales by value in 2019.  Victoria was the most active market by number of transactions in 2019 (39) but transactions by value fell to 19% from 32% in 2018.
Offshore investor acquisitions were stable at approximately $1.4 billion – consistent with the previous two years.  As a share of total transactions, offshore investors accounted for 22% in 2019, up from 18% in 2018.  
JLL’s Senior Director of Retail Research – Australia Andrew Quillfeldt said, “While there are limited signs of distress among major shopping centre owners, some groups are motivated to reduce their weighting/exposure to retail which will drive a steady supply of investment product.
“Fundamentals for shopping centres continue to evolve and buyers continue to price-in conservative assumptions.  Nevertheless, recent major transactions show there is still capital available for large retail assets. 
“The macro-economic drivers of retail spending suggest conditions for shopping centre fundamentals will remain largely unchanged in 2020 given the counterbalancing factors at present.    
“Annual retail completions fell by around 27% in 2019 and have been trending lower on a per capita basis for most of the past 25 years, excluding single-tenanted large format retail. The 2020 to 2023 forecasts suggest per capita supply will be around half the historical average,” said Mr Quillfeldt. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/2/5/shopping%20centre%203.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/5/shopping%20centre%203.jpg" alt="">
Source: JLL Research
JLL’s Head of Retail, Property &amp; Asset Management, Tony Doherty said, “Shopping centres are evolving to include new space users and sources of tenant demand. Social infrastructure such as childcare and health care are becoming more mainstream and will be a key growth opportunity for the sector. Competitive social operators are also slowly gaining traction as a new concept for shopping centres, with the introduction of technology-related businesses like esports and other experience-based retailers. 
“Owners and shopping centre managers will be keenly exploring various strategies to backfill discount department stores spaces and the strategy will vary depending on the location of the centre, the demographics and the retail mix. Many shopping centre owners will be exploring development opportunities for alternate use as a way to maximise the value of their land and as the sector embraces its mixed-use future,” said Mr Doherty. 
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Retail sector will be a focus for investors in 2020: JLL

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The sod has been turned and work has commenced on Merrifield City, a retail-led town centre for Victoria’s largest mixed-use master planned community, Merrifield. 
The joint venture between QIC GRE and Merrifield developers – MAB Corporation and Gibson Property Corporation sits at the heart of Merrifield.
It is a 900-hectare, master planned community located in Mickleham, Merrifield City where retail spending for the growth corridor is also projected to rise substantially to circa $2.7 billion by 2036.
Mr Stubbings said QIC GRE’s partnership with MAB Corporation and GPC was established in 2014 when QIC GRE acquired a 50% stake in the greenfield site, as well as development and management rights.
He said, “once complete, Merrifield will be home to over 8,000 dwellings and, with a dedicated business park, create more than 30,000 jobs.
“The first stage of the vision for Merrifield City will be dynamic and convenience-based, focused on food and essential offers that service people day and night, as well as introduce the region’s first supermarket, Coles.”
"It will incorporate 6,700 sqm of retail space comprising Coles, two mini-majors and 19 speciality retailers, as well as an at-grade car park for 350 vehicles and a kid’s play zone."
MAB Corporation Managing Director, Andrew Buxton, said with stage one works already underway, Merrifield City is expected to open its doors to the community in late-2020.
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Construction commences on Merrifield City retail centre

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Strathpine Centre has received the go-ahead to begin a complete redevelopment after receiving DA approval.
The upgrade will aims to enhance retail and community opportunities.
The centre has appointed Mainbrace Constructions for the redevelopment.
Mainbrace Queensland’s State Manager Duncan McAndrew says the focus of the redevelopment will be centred around engaging local trades and suppliers to deliver the project.
“Strathpine Centre is a vital piece of the retail infrastructure in the area and we’re expected to see approximately 50 new jobs for the community”.
The development is due to be completed by late 2020 with work commencing in the new year.
Strathpine Centre Manager Chris Gibbons says the upgrade will improve the shopping and dining experience for customers.
“The addition of six new retailers to the centre will greatly improve customer convenience and experience, better servicing the everyday needs of locals,” Chris said.
“This redevelopment will secure the long-term future of the centre and allow us to better service the community. It will improve the centre’s street presence and offer a combination of leisure, dining and shopping options to cater for the entire family,” Chris said.
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Strathpine Centre redevelopment received DA approval

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Fortius has acquired Stockland’s Sydney lifestyle shopping centre, Cammeray Square, for $39.05 million reflecting a yield of 7%.
Cammeray Square services 1 million customers annually on Sydney’s Lower North Shore and is set over a 6,815 square metre corner site fronting Miller Street and Amherst Street.
The centre forms part of a mixed-use development comprising four buildings surrounding a central plaza, with retail tenancies situated on the ground floor, anchored by Harris Farm Markets and comprising 15 specialty shops and restaurants.
The upper levels are occupied by five commercial tenancies, including childcare operator, Only About Children, and a medical offering.
The fully leased site has a Weighted Average Lease Expiry (WALE) of 5.8 years by area.
Cushman &amp; Wakefield’s National Head of Retail Investments, Nick Potter, and Senior Executive, Billy Dent, managed the expressions of interest sale on behalf of Stockland.
The sale of Cammeray Square follows a number of other neighbourhood centre sales in New South Wales within mixed-use or potential mixed use sites brokered by Cushman &amp; Wakefield, including the sale of Abacus Property Group’s Liverpool Plaza shopping centre to a private development group for $46 million and, before that, the off-the-plan purchase of the Coles Crows Nest stratum in for $43 million.
Sam Sproats, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Executive Director, Fortius Funds Management Pty Ltd said: “The acquisition of Cammeray Square is consistent with the firm’s investment strategy of acquiring well-located innerurban retail and mixed-use assets underpinned by diverse income streams that are supported by strong and growing catchments."
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Stockland’s Cammeray Square, Sydney acquired by Fortius for $39 million

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Commercial retail property transactions virtually ground to a halt in September, with the lowest number of completed deals since April 2016 recorded.
Whilst this lack of activity may be a reflection of retail spending uncertainty, reduced lending to the sector from the banks and the growing penetration of on-line shopping, it also means greater care than usual is required interpreting the data.
TDA estimate trend cap rates fell to 6.18% in September; some 33 basis points lower than August. Consequently, trend cap rates are now at their lowest level since December 2018 and 48 basis points higher from their cyclical low in March 2018. 
The price paid per square metre, in trend terms, continued to edge up further in September, to be over 16% higher since the start of the year, although still some 5% down from its peak in November 2017.
Whilst the number of completed transactions was particularly weak during September, the volume of stock being offered on the market was also low. Consequently, the amount of gross lettable area for sale was little changed, at close to 1.1 million square metres.
Irrespective of the low level of market activity during September, retail commercial cap rates have stabilised in recent months, while the price paid per square metre has edged higher.
Even so, there has been a meaningful underperformance of retail as an investment class in the past 18 months.
Whilst not conclusive, there are some early signs of an improvement in asset values in absolute terms.
Lower real yields and the cost of debt have driven other commercial asset class cap rates to record lows of late, and it is possible the rising tide of cheap capital may start to have an impact in lifting the fortunes of retail assets.
KEY FINDINGS
Highlights — Cap Rates
Cap rates for commercial shopping centres declined by 164 basis points in September to 6.54%.
In trend terms, cap rates declined by 33 basis points to 6.18% in September. Cap rates are currently 48 basis points higher from their low point of 5.70% in March 2018.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/1/Picture1.jpg" alt=""> 
-In trend terms, cap are virtually the same as a year ago.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/1/Picture2.jpg" alt=""> 
Highlights — Shopping Centre Turnover (Transactions) 
Due to the very low level of transactions, in trend terms, the volume of Gross Lettable Area (GLA) transacted moderated during September.
This fall-back in volumes is a break from past seasonal patterns which entailed a pick-up in volumes towards the end of the year.
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In trend terms, the volume of shopping centre GLA transacted and the number of transactions completed were both fell sharply during September.
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In trend terms, the low number of transactions ensured the value of transactions in September remained at a modestly low level.
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The value of transactions, in trend terms, moved slightly lower in September, although remaining little changed from a year earlier.
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In trend terms, the price paid per square metre has edged up in recent months, to be 16.7% higher than the start of the year.
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In trend terms the price paid per square metre is now 10.5% below its peak of November 2017.
 is a director at The Data App
Each month The Data App (TDA) releases information on the commercial retail sector transaction capitalisation rates, as well as data on turnover by floor area and value, thus providing a comprehensive overview of the retail sector's performance.
 
 
 
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Shopping centres fall quiet: The Data App

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The only shopping centre in the town of Katherine, in the Northern Territory, has transacted to a private Melbourne investor for $28.9 million.
Achieving a core cap rate of 7.43%, Katherine Central Shopping Centre was sold by Ben Parkinson and Rick Silberman of Savills.
Katherine Central is anchored by a Woolworths supermarket and Target Country, with a tenancy mix that includes BWS, Rockmans, Smokemart, Amcal, and Brumby’s.
The off-market deal was negotiated on behalf of Charter Hall.
“The Centre enjoys an excellent market share within an expansive 500 kilometre main trade area in the Northern Territory,” Mr. Parkinson said. “Aside from the Woolworths in Katherine, the closest full line supermarket is in Darwin, 316 kilometres away.”
The 7,159 sqm Katherine Centre also immediately adjoins a retail and commercial development known as the Southgate Centre and the Katherine Hotel.
Major industries other than tourism include the RAAF Tindal Air Base along with mining and grazing. The RAAF Tindal Base is approximately 15 kilometres southeast of Katherine and is home to several flight squadrons. This local market and long term employment base underpins the success of Katherine Central.
“The total retail spending market generated by the overall trade area population is estimated to be around $212 million,” said Rick Silberman, Director of Retail Investments at Savills.
“This amount is expected to increase on average by 4.2% per year, reaching around $346 million for the overall trade area, including $268 million in the Primary Sector and immediately surrounding Katherine,” he concluded.
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Savills sell Katherine, NT's only shopping centre for $28.9 million

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The bakery Parkwood Hotbread is set to open a new shopfront at the Hope Island Shopping Centre on the Gold Coast.
The business, which has been operating locally for over a decade, has committed to a 60 sqm tenancy in the 10 Santa Barbara Road complex.
Hope Island Hotbread have signed a 5-year contract with the shopping centre, occupying a space formally owned by another bakery.
Tanaka Jabangwe, from real estate agency Knight Frank who negotiated the lease, said, "The operators had been looking for the right opportunity to open a second store...after reviewing multiple sites the opportunity at Hope Island Shopping Centre became available at the perfect time."
Hope Island Hot Bread is scheduled to be operational by August 5, 2019.
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