RBA predicted to leave rates on hold
Analysis by RateCity.com.au tips the Reserve Bank to leave the cash rate on hold at 1.50 per cent when it meets this afternoon.
RateCity.com.au’s analysis of over 20 domestic and international economic indicators found a rate change this month is unlikely.
Paul Marshall, RateCity.com.au CEO said the RBA will continue their “wait and see” approach.
“With inflation running at 2.1 percent, within the RBA’s target band of 2-3 percent and unemployment at 5.5 percent, our economy is stable," he said.
“We believe the Reserve Bank still needs more time to monitor the impact of APRA’s changes to lending requirements before making a decision to move on rates.
“APRA so far has done some of the Reserve’s heavy lifting. Over the last few months Australia’s big four banks have increased rates for investors paying interest-only.
“The gap between those doing the right and paying down their principal and interest and those paying interest-only is now significant.
“Time will tell whether the rate hikes will be enough to deter property investors. The latest market snapshot from Corelogic revealed prices in Sydney have rebounded by 2.2 per cent in June after falling in May.
“However, even if the Reserve keeps rates on hold this month, the celebration could be short lived. As economies around the world continue to strengthen, we are likely to start seeing interest rates move in an upward direction. The days of cheap money could be numbered”, Mr Marshall said.
