30 day prime residential mortgage-backed securities delinquency rate rises
The 30 or more day delinquency rate for Australian prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) rose to 1.53 percent in the quarter ending 30 June 2016, up from, from 1.50 percent at 31 March 2016, according to research from Moody's.
The Australian RMBS Indices Q2 2016 from Moody's found delinquency rates increased for both prime RMBS issued by major banks and regional authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs).
For major bank issuers, the 30+ day delinquency rate increased to 1.46 percent at 30 June 2016 from 1.44 percent at 31 March 2016. For regional ADIs it rose to 2.16 percent from 2.01 percent over the same period.
The total repayment rate for prime RMBS was 24.74 percent at 30 June 2016, lower than the 12-month average of 25.05 percent.
The report suggests Australian prime RMBS delinquencies and defaults will continue to rise through the remainder of 2016, owing to Australia’s below-trend nominal economic growth.
"Australia-wide, housing affordability — as measured by the average share of income needed to make monthly mortgage loan repayments — deteriorated in Q2 2016 compared with the previous quarter, owing to higher home prices," the report noted.
"Housing affordability improved in Perth and was unchanged in Sydney over Q2 2016."