Melbourne leads east coast residential June price declines: CoreLogic

Melbourne leads east coast residential June price declines: CoreLogic
Joel RobinsonJune 30, 2020

Australia's eastern states continue to drive the residential dwelling value decline across the country, with a second consecutive month of falls nationally.

CoreLogic's Home Value Index recorded a -0.7 per cent decline in values over June, following on from a -0.4 per cent decline over May.

And again it's been Sydney and Melbourne the two main drivers, the Victorian capital the joint worst performer across the country, down -1.1 per cent and matching Perth's decline.

Sydney posted -0.8 per cent dwelling declines, having seen -0.4 per cent declines over May.

To enlarge, click here.

There were smaller declines in Brisbane and Adelaide, while Hobart, Canberra and Darwin all bucked the downward trend.

Despite June's value decline, market activity estimates were encouraging, showing a 29.5 per cent surge in home sales. Over May sales activity had been up 21.5 per cent.

CoreLogic head of research Tim Lawless said the downwards pressure on home values has remained mild to-date, with capital city dwelling values falling a cumulative 1.3% over the past two months. 

"A variety of factors have helped to protect home values from more significant declines, including persistently low advertised stock levels and significant government stimulus", Lawless suggested.

"Additionally, low interest rates and forbearance policies from lenders have helped to keep urgent sales off the market, providing further insulation to housing values.”

Houses and Units

The housing market across the country performed slightly worse than units over the month, with -0.7 per cent declines compared to units -0.6 per cent.

And it was the housing market that dragged down Sydney and Melbourne.

Sydney's house values dropped -0.9 per cent, compared to the -0.6 per cent decline in unit values.

There was a bigger difference in Melbourne where they saw house values scale back -1.3 per cent compared to units -0.7 per cent.

To enlarge, click here.

The unit markets however in Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth all underperformed compared to housing.

Darwin and Canberra were the only capital's to see gains in both the housing and unit markets.

Where are prices falling?

In that nation's two biggest real estate markets, values are down the most in the upper quartile.

“Higher value markets tend to be more reactive to changes in the environment, having led both the upswing and the downturn over previous cycles", Lawless said.

"The past three months has seen this trend playing out, with upper quartile values down 1.7% across the combined capital city index over the past three months, while lower quartile values have fallen by only 0.3%."

Lawless says the capital city trend is driven mostly by Sydney and Melbourne, while the smaller cities have shown a mixed result across the valuation cohorts.

"In Sydney the upper quartile is down 1.3% over the past three months, while lower quartile values are up 0.2%.

"Similarly, over the same period in Melbourne, upper quartile values are down 3.7% while lower quartile values have declined a more modest 0.5%.

"Importantly, the upper quartile also recorded the most significant run-up in values throughout the second half of last year."

 

 

 

 

 

 

Joel Robinson

Joel Robinson is a property journalist based in Sydney. Joel has been writing about the residential real estate market for the last five years, specializing in market trends and the economics and finance behind buying and selling real estate.

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