Consumer spending habits and their impact on sub-regional shopping centres
Changes in consumer spending patterns since 2007 appear to have hurt retailers, such as department stores, apparel and discretionary retailing, according to Savills research.
The Australian Sub Regional Shopping Centres report says consumer spending has impacted tenants in regional and some sub regional shopping centres though some sub regional shopping centres have been immune from this.
The ABS turnover statistics in the accompanying table show strong growth over a long period in most of the retail categories found at a sub regional shopping centre. Supermarkets have been enjoying strong turnover growth as have their associated liquor stores.
Discount department stores dealing in electronics, household goods including furniture and discount clothing have also enjoyed strong turnover growth. Associated specialty stores such as a chemist, a take away food store, a bakery, a newsagent and other local service providers such as a dry cleaner may be found in the tenancy mix.
The structural issues facing retail are more formidable but not insurmountable. Savills expects the retail sector to evolve to take advantage of the structural issues rather than be over-run by them.
The ageing of the population will continue to create challenges for retailers as they jockey for the dollars of retirees. Retirees can be expected to prefer services over goods and will not necessarily continue to dwell in their traditional catchment areas.
Internet retailing has already changed the face of retailing for certain categories of goods and will no doubt continue to evolve and challenge more categories over time. New business models are establishing themselves.