Property transactions to spike by a quarter 2021: RiskWise

Property transactions will increase by about a quarter in 2021 after a significant slump through the middle of 2020, according to research from RiskWise Property Research.  

Doron Peleg, CEO of RiskWise Property Research noted that “although transactions in the established market continued to flow through in modest volumes, through April and May off the plan sales were becoming increasingly scarce.”

“The exact final numbers will only be known in the fullness of time, but it seems likely that with total stock listings stuck at low levels deep into 2020, stamp duty coffers will experience a substantial hole due to this year’s major disruptions” Mr Peleg said.  

Mr Peleg said market research suggested that there is "a significant burst of pent-up demand set to be unleashed" as Victoria’s economy has reopened and travel restrictions are eased.

Pete Wargent of BuyersBuyers.com.au said that the biggest unknown factor is whether the international borders will be open and flights operational before the second quarter of calendar year 2021”. 

“While acknowledging the potential for delays in vaccine progress, it seems likely that residential property transactions will increase by a quarter in 2021 as in addition to homebuyers we’re now seeing property investors also returning to the fold, lured by the prospect of neutral-to-positively geared investments”.  

Pete Wargent noted “2020 has been one of the most unusual years on record for real estate markets in Australia.”

“We came into the year with relatively low unemployment and confidence running at a solid clip, but as the first quarter of the calendar year progressed it became increasingly clear that significant disruption could be on the cards.” Mr Wargent said. 

“We then had multiple buyers putting their searches on hold until the situation became clearer.

"But now it’s notable that they’re feeling confident enough to buy again”.